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presidential elections 2012

PhotoCandidateDetailsParty Affiliation
Main registered presidential candidates[5]
Abdel Moneim Aboul Fotouh.jpg
Secretary general of the Arab Medical Union and former member of the guidance bureau of the Muslim Brotherhood
Independent
(received the endorsement of Salafi Al-Nour Party,[20] moderate Islamic Al-Wasat Party[21] and Egyptian Current Party. )
Khaled Ali announces his candidacy.jpg
Lawyer and labor activist. Former head of the Egyptian Center for Economic and Social Rights (ECESR), founding member of Hisham Mubarak Law Center (HMLC)
Independent
Mohammed Salim Al-Awa.jpg
Independent
Hisham Bastawisy.JPG
Egyptian judge and the vice president of the Egyptian Court of Cassation. Tagammu nominee
image4 =
Chairman of the Freedom and Justice Party. Replacement candidate for eliminated Khairat El-Shater.
Amr Moussa at the 37th G8 Summit in Deauville 054.jpg
Independent
Hsabahy.JPG
Leader of the Nasserist Dignity Party.
Ahmed Shafik 2.jpg
Air Marshal and last prime minister under Hosni Mubarak.
Independent

[edit]Abdel Moneim Aboul Fotouh

Abdel Moneim Aboul Fotouh, a doctor by practice and a Muslim Brotherhood figure popular with Egyptian youths, declared his candidacy in May 2011. He was expelled from the Brotherhood for this decision on 20 June of that year, as it contradicted an earlierGuidance Bureau decision that the Brotherhood would not put forward a candidate in 2011.[22] The Muslim Brotherhood contradicted their initial position on 31 March 2012 when they put forward Khairat El-Shater as the Brotherhood's candidate and Mohamed Morsy as his replacement. Aboul Fotouh is well known for his staunch opposition to both the Sadat and Mubarak regimes, as well as his openness towards people of different political views. He was detained once during Sadat's rule and twice during Mubarak's rule. He has promised to appoint a vice-president who is a youth revolutionary and to fill over half of the country's important posts with youths under the age of 45.[23]
Despite coming from the moderate-to-liberal wing of the Islamist movement, Aboul Fotouh won the endorsement of the Salafi Al-Nour Party on 28 April 2012.[24]

[edit]Khaled Ali

Khaled Ali announced his campaign on 27 February 2012,and applied for elections on 8 April 2012 as an independent with the support of 32 elected officials in both chambers of parliament the youngest candidate to enter the race. Ali is a prominent Egyptian lawyer and activist, known for his work advocating reform of corruption in the government and private sector and his promotion of social justice and labor rights. Al-Ahram Weekly called him a" legendary anti-corruption crusader",[25] and CounterPunch described him as "Egypt’s best-known counselor and defender of independent unions and worker protests."[26] In 2011 he won the “Egyptian Corruption Fighter” award.[27]
Many of Ali’s supporters see him as filling the void left by Mohamed ElBaradei's withdrawal.[28] Ali is not well-known to the majority of Egyptians, and even those who are familiar with him have tended to be surprised by his decision to run. His profile doesn’t compare to the other "star" candidates in the race, wrote Al-Akhbar English.[28] Ali's lack of experience as a politician is a concern. Many, even in the revolutionary movement, remain skeptical about his candidacy.[28] Ali's candidacy has not been seen to have a high likelihood of success. Critics argue that his chance of winning is low, and are further concerned that he could split the vote in a way that would sway the election towards representatives of the prior regime.[29]
Socialist Popular Alliance Party and Egyptian Socialists members told Egypt Independent that they are seriously considering backing Ali’s candidacy. “Up until now, the situation is unclear. Khaled may be our choice. Some are proposing a potential partnership between Khaled Ali and Abouel Fotouh [where Ali can run as his deputy]," said Marwa Farouk, a member of the Popular Alliance.[30] No party has endorsed Ali yet.[28]

[edit]Mohammed Salim Al-Awa

Mohammad Salim Al-Awa, an Islamic thinker, declared his candidacy on 14 June 2011.[31] The fact that Al-Awa and Aboul Fotouh belong to the same school of thought have led to press speculation about vote-splitting and the possibility of their uniting behind a single candidate. Aboul Fotouh has recognized this possibility.[22]

[edit]Hisham Bastawisy

Hisham Bastawisy is an Egyptian judge and the vice president of the Egyptian Court of Cassation. He was one of the leaders of the Egyptian opposition before and during the 2011 Egyptian revolution. He is running for the Egyptian presidential elections as a representative of the National Progressive Unionist Party (Tagammu).

[edit]Abu Al-Izz Al-Hariri

Abu Al-Izz Al-Hariri is an Alexandria MP representing the Socialist Popular Alliance Party and the The Revolution Continues Alliance. He filed his application on 13 March 2012.

[edit]Amr Moussa

When asked about the rumors that he might run for the 2012 presidential elections, Amr Moussa refused to rule out the possibility of running for the office, leaving the door open to expectations. He argued that, "It's the right of every citizen that has the capacity and efficiency to aspire to any political office that would allow him to contribute to the service of his nation".[32] He further stated to the press that the qualities required of the President also apply to Gamal Mubarak, arguing that the citizenship, rights and obligations which apply to himself can also be applied to Gamal.[33] He also expressed appreciation for "the confidence expressed by many people when they talk about his candidacy for the Egyptian presidency, and expressed that the message reached him.".[34]
On 27 February 2011 he announced he would be running for president saying "God willing, I will be one of them."[35]

[edit]Hamdeen Sabahi

Hamdeen Sabahi, the leader of the Nasserist Dignity Party officially filed his application on 6 April 2012.[36]

[edit]Ahmed Shafik

Ahmed Shafik officially launched his presidential campaign on 2 November 2011. He was the last Prime Minister appointed by Hosni Mubarak after the beginning of the 2011 revolution in January. He resigned only three weeks after the deposition of the longterm president.[37] Shafik claims to be on good terms with the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces.[38]
Shafik was first disqualified in the wake of the ratification of the Corruption of Political Life Law (aka the Disenfranchisement Law), which banned Mubarak era PMs from nomination.[39] He immediately appealed the decision and on 25 April the Supreme Presidential Electoral Commission (SPEC) accepted his appeal, which puts him back in the race.[15]

[edit]Minor candidates

The remaining candidates are:[5]

[edit]Disqualified candidates

PhotoCandidateDetailsParty Affiliation
Main disqualified candidates[40]
حازم صلاح مسجد أسد بن الفرات.jpg
Salafist[41] and ultra-conservative figure.[42]
Independent
Ayman Noor.jpg
Founder of the liberal El-Ghad Party and leader of the Ghad El-Thawra Party.
Businessman and deputy supreme guide of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt
Omar Suleiman 070731-D-7203T-010 0WX8I.jpg
General and intelligence chief under Hosni Mubarak

[edit]Hazem Salah Abu Ismail

Hazem Salah Abu Ismail is an independent, ultra-conservative[42] Salafi Islamist lawyer and politician.[41][43]
He rejects the idea of reconciling the religious law of Islam with personal freedom. He announced to make wearing the veil mandatory for Egyptian women in case of being elected.[44] He would ban the consumption of alcohol in public, even for tourists. Abu Ismail advocates the closure of gambling casinos, which are currently reserved for foreign visitors. Tourists wearing two-piece swimsuits should be arrested, according to Abu Ismail.[45] Moreover, he calls for the abolishment of the Shura Council, which is the upper house of the Egyptian parliament.[46]
By 28 March, Abu Ismail had collected 150,000 signatures supporting his candidacy. He was endorsed by 58 members of parliament,[47] the Salafist Scholars Shura Council,[48] and the Salafist Front.[49]
However, Abu Ismail could be excluded from the presidential race. According to the Egyptian foreign ministry, Abu Ismail's mother was granted United States citizenship in 2006 and held dual nationality. Thus, he would fail the premise that candidates, their spouses and their parents must hold exclusive Egyptian citizenship.[50] Abu Ismail denies the ministry's assertion and insists that his mother was exclusively Egyptian.[51] The threat to Abu Ismail's candidacy has triggered protests by his supporters.[51][52] On 11 April, the State Council decided that the Ministry of Interior is obliged to provide documents verifying the nationality of the candidate's mother.[6]
As of 14 April 2012, Abu-Ismail has been barred from the election by the Presidential Election Commission. He has been given 48 hours to appeal the decision.[53]

[edit]Ayman Nour

Ayman Nour is the founder of Al-Ghad Party, leader of the Ghad El-Thawra Party and former candidate in the 2005 presidential electionsin which he emerged as runner-up to the winning President Hosni Mubarak.
Ayman Nour was jailed in 2006 few months after the presidential elections when he was convicted in charges of forgery. He was later removed from the presidency of Al-Ghad Party. In February 2009, he was released from prison under an amnesty due to health reasons. It has been alleged that his release from prison was due to U.S. President Obama demanding his release as a condition to meet with Mubarak.[54]
Ayman Nour's ability to candidate was doubtful, because of being an ex-convict and a former prisoner. However, he was pardoned by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) and is thus not longer banned from political activity but eligible for the presidency.[55]Nour was also barred from running for the presidency by the Presidential Election Commission.[56]

[edit]Khairat El-Shater

After initially deciding not to field a candidate, the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt announced on 31 March 2012 that its deputy supreme guide Khairat El-Shater would run in the election.[57][58]
El-Shater, who was convicted and imprisoned for several years during the rule of Mubarak, might be excluded from the race due to the ban of ex-convicts from political activity. The ruling military council had pardoned him, but a case was filed to eliminate him from the election, because the pardon has not been endorsed by a criminal court.[59] The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt fielded Mohamed Morsy, chairman of the Freedom and Justice Party, as an alternative candidate in case El-Shater's candidacy in invalidated.
As of 14 April 2012, El-Shater has been barred from the election by the Presidential Election Commission. His campaign has stated that they will appeal the decision.[53]

[edit]Omar Suleiman

General Omar Suleiman, who was director of the General Intelligence Service and in 2011 shortly the last vice president under ousted President Hosni Mubarak, announced his candidacy on 6 April 2012.[60]
As of 14 April 2012, Suleiman has been barred from the election by the Presidential Election Commission. His campaign has stated that they will appeal the decision.[53]

[edit]Minor disqualified candidates

[edit]Withdrawn candidates

[edit]Mohamed ElBaradei

In November 2009 amidst the political controversy over the then prospective 2011 presidential election and the constitutional impediments placed in the faces of candidates under the amended Article 76 in the 2007 constitution and amidst speculation about then-President Hosni Mubarak's son Gamal running for the post, Mohamed ElBaradei decided to respond to the continuous pressing from people who asked him to run for the 2011 election.[61][62][63] ElBaradei said in a statement sent from his office in Vienna to Al-Shorouk newspaper that "He did not announce willingness or unwillingness to participate in the upcoming presidential election... and that he will clear his position on the presidency after November".[64] His office manager added:
Dr. ElBaradei is the Director General of International Atomic Energy Agency until the end of November. Therefore, he is currently devoted to his work and to address the important issues and topics that need to be addressed by the IAEA. So he did not take any decision regarding his future which will be decided in light of developments of the next phase.
At the same time, the New Wafd Party and other opposition political forces have announced that they are ready to support ElBaradei if he decided to run for the election. However, Mohamed ElBaradei stated that if he decides to run for the 2011 elections, he prefers to run as an independent candidate, rather than running as a candidate of any of the existing political parties.[65]
On 24 February 2010, ElBaradei met with several opposition leaders and notable intellects at his home in Cairo. The meeting was concluded with an announcement for the formation of a new non-party-political movement called "National Association for Change". The movement aims for general reforms in the political scene and mainly burke the Constitutional article#76 which places restrictions on true free presidential elections especially when it comes to independent candidates. Worth mentioning is that the banned political group the Muslim Brotherhood were represented by one of their key figures who attended the meeting however their stand in accepting a non-member of their group as a candidate is yet unclear. It is also unknown whether Amr Moussa the head of the Arab League who met with Elbaradei a day earlier will be part of the new movement.[66]
On 14 January 2012, he withdrew his candidacy in protest against the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces' alleged usurpation of power as[67] he criticised the road map of transition to a civilian government following the 2011 revolution. ElBaradei called it a "travesty" to elect a president before a new constitution has been drafted.[68]

[edit]AbdElazim Negm

Abdelazim negm is a professor of Hydraulic Engineering at Zagazig University and former Vice Dean for education and student affairs. He announced his candidacy on 4 March 2011, and withdrew it on 2 April 2012.[69][70]

[edit]Bothaina Kamel

Bothaina Kamel, a media personality and pro-democracy activist, announced her candidacy in April 2011.[71]

[edit]Saad El-Soghayar

Al-Sughayar headed to the High Presidential Elections Commission (HPEC) on Tuesday to collect the official application documents and learn of the requirements for running for presidency. A large crowd and folklore music accompanied Al-Sughayar and his band on their visit to the HPEC.
Upon his visit to the HPEC, the pop star said that he has collected 30,000 recommendations, which were declined due to his failure to fill in required documents prior the submission, reported the Middle East News Agency. He insisted that he will collect more than 55, 000 recommendations.
he added that his presidential agenda is ambitious and includes several priorities important to the common citizen, with a full healthcare-for-all system at the front line of these priorities.[72]
However, in a television show later that same day, he went to state he did not think that he was qualified for office and not even for any elected office. He added that he pulled this stunt to show the government and the SCAF that the criteria of 30,000 signatures is not a true obstacle to prevent non-serious candidates.[citation needed]

[edit]Mohammad Fawzi Issa

Democratic Generation Party nominee – withdrew on 16 May 2012 in favour of Amr Moussa[19]

[edit]Opinion polls

The first opinion poll conducted in Egypt post Mubarak, was conducted by YouGov.[73] According to the YouGov survey of 1871 Egyptians between 15–20 February 2011, Almost half of all Egyptians (49%) believed that Amr Moussa, the secretary general of the Arab League, was the man most capable of leading the next Egyptian Government. Other potential Presidents, Ahmed Zewill (13%) & Ayman Nour, Mubarak’s 2005 Presidential rival (1%), trailed Moussa by a huge margin. Almost 1 in 10 (9%) believed former Vice President, Omar Sulieman, should be Egypt’s new leader. The majority (81%) of Egyptians believed that the army would facilitate free and fair elections.
An April 2011 survey of 1,000 Egyptians by Pew Research Center’s Global Attitudes Project with a margin of error of four percentage points found that the most popular Egyptian politician was Amr Moussa with 41% of Egyptians viewing him as "very favourable," followed by Ayman Nour with 32% and Mohamed ElBaradei with 25%. Some 75% had a favourable view of the Muslim Brotherhood, but only 17% believed they should lead the next government.[74]
A poll conducted during the 2011 protests asking "who do you think should be the next President of Egypt?" showed Moussa in the lead, with 26% of respondents naming him.[75]
Conducted/
Published
Polling Organisation/
Client
Sample sizeAmr MoussaAbu IsmailAbdel Moneim Aboul FotouhOmar SuleimanAhmed ShafikHamdeen SabahiMohamed MorsySalim Al-AwaKhairat El-Shater(FJP)Ayman Nour(Ghad)Kamal GanzouriMohamed ElBaradeiotherundecided
Feb 2011YouGov187149%9%1%1%2%24%13%
9–20 March 2011IPI[76]61537%5%1%2%37%14%
Jun 2011IPI[77]80032%3%3%2%42%
Jun/Jul 2011Newsweek/
Daily Beast[78]
100816%5%4%12%2%6%4%12%13%27%
"(3-way race)"47%16%19%18%
Aug 2011ACPSS[79]2,40044%5.2%2%9%12%5%5%6%4%7.8%45%
Oct 2011Press TV/
Synovate[80]
1,03042%15%13%30%
Oct 2011ACPSS[81]2,40044.8%5.2%1.6%10.8%13.2%5.7%4.7%5.0%3.5%5.5% ?
Nov 2011ACPSS[82]2,40038.9%5.7%1.5%6.6%8.5%4.0%5.7%3.2%2.9%24.5% ?
Mar 2012Al Ahram[83]1,20031.5%22.7%8.3%9.3%10.2%5.0%4.0%1.0%3.0%1.0%4.0% ?
Apr 2012Al Ahram[84]1,20030.7%28.8%8.5%8.2%7.5%3.9%3.2%1.7%1.4%1.3%6.5% ?
Apr 2012Al-Masri Al-Yom[85]2,0346.4%11.7%12.4%20.1%2.2%2.7%1%3.2%2.2%38.1%
Apr 2012Al Ahram[86][87]1,20022.3%21.4%6.2%31.7%3.4%4.3%1.2%4.3%0.9%4.3%
Apr 2012Al Ahram[88]1,20040.9%25.2%10.5%9.3%0.9%4.4% ? ?
Apr 2012Al-Masri Al-Yom[89][90]2,12912.5%15.5%6%5%1.5%5.1%54.4%
Apr 2012Al Ahram[91][92]1,20041.1%27.3%11.9%7.4%3.6%5.7%3.0%12.3%
Apr 2012Al Masry Al Youm[93]2,10014.1%18.5%5.3%5%3.6%1.4%2%50.1%
April–May 2012IDSC[94][95]1,20911%11%6%2%2%42% 1
April–May 2012Al Ahram[96][97]1,20039%24%17.2%6.7%7%2.9%3.2%
May 2012Shorouk[98]1,01416%20.8%15.2%5.7%5.2% ?3.4%33.6%
May 2012Al Masry Al Youm[99]2,15217%15.7%14.8%6%5.2% ?3.7%37.6%
May 2012IDSC[100]2,2647%9%8%2%4%2% 239% 3
May 2012Al Ahram[101][102]1,20040.8%17.8%19.9%7%9.4%2.7%2.5%15.3%
May 2012Al Masry Al Youm[103] ?16%12.5%16.3%7%8.8%2%37.4%
May 2012IDSC[104][105]1,39011%9%12%5%6%1%2%37% 4
May 2012IDSC[106]1,36611%7%12%7%7% ? ?35%
May 2012Al Aharam[107]1,20031.7%14.6%22.6%11.7%14.8%2.3%1.7%5 ?
May 2012Al Masry Al Youm[107]2,28714.6%12.4%19.3%9.5%9%1%1.2%33%
May 2012Shorouk[108]1,18515.1%13.2%15.8%12.3%9.5%1.3%2.9%29.8%
May 2012U of Maryland[109][110]77228%32%14%8%8% ? ? ?






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